Japanese Pokémon Card Market Weekly (November 2026, Week 2)

Data as of: our market data updated 05:45 JST, November 8, 2026; posts on X from November 3 to November 9, 2026. Figures are reference prices from third-party sales, not our selling prices. Our views are for reference only and are not investment advice.

This week in brief

• PSA 10: 35 cards in the TOP100 show a positive 7-day change and 31 a negative one, against 32 and 31 a week earlier. Over 30 days, 7 of the 100 are down (26 a week earlier).
• Mint: 11 cards up over 7 days, 10 down and 79 at ±0.00% (11 up, 9 down and 80 at ±0.00% a week earlier).
• Two cards entered the TOP100 and two left it.

The week in our data

The tables below list the TOP100 cards with the largest 7-day changes as of November 8, compared with November 1. A single sale can move the latest price sharply: mint Umbreon GX (SM8b 229/150) went from ¥48,500 on November 6 to ¥95,555 on November 7.

Mint Acerola (395/SM-P) stayed at ¥1,980,000 while its PSA 10 price fell from ¥3,440,000 on November 5 to ¥3,090,000 on November 6. The median PSA 10 premium over mint across the TOP100 was 2.57 times on October 9, 3.46 times on November 1 and 3.44 times on November 8.

Four themes from posts on X

From the Japanese Pokémon card accounts on X that we follow, we picked posts from November 3 to November 9 about prices, restocks, grading and sales, and grouped them into four themes. Posts are summarized; follow each link for the original.

1. The 30th CELEBRATION box swings around ¥20,000 while RGB Mew rises

On X On November 3, @ZeniKame_Pokeca posted that the 30th anniversary box had fallen to ¥20,798, and @MhyuRu reported the same day that the box had traded below ¥20,000. A day later, @MhyuRu wrote that it had come back to ¥21,500 (post). On November 4, @shihandai_tcg0 said regular deliveries of the box and the card set were continuing at a major convenience-store chain, and @MhyuRu noted that shop buying prices for the illustrator Pikachu cards were often ¥10 to ¥50. On November 3, @takahiro_012 posted that the card set would be restocked between mid-November and early December.

Our data Mew (M6a R/RGB) from 30th CELEBRATION (M6a) rose from 14th to 8th, with PSA 10 going from ¥2,360,000 on November 1 to ¥2,800,000 on November 5 (+16.67% over 7 days, +36.05% over 30 days) and mint at ¥550,000 (+3.50% over 7 days). Mew (M6a G/RGB) is at ¥390,000 in mint (+13.31% over 7 days) and ¥1,850,000 in PSA 10 (+66.23% over 30 days). Box prices are not yet reflected in our market data.

Our view We think the box swings around 20,000 yen because regular deliveries to major convenience-store chains continue and opening leaves a surplus of ordinary cards. Posts put shop buying prices for the illustrator Pikachu cards at 10 to 50 yen in many cases, while in our data PSA 10 Mew (M6a R/RGB) rose 16.67% over 7 days. We see 30th CELEBRATION at a stage where value concentrates in the RGB cards, rather than a uniform decline. For box buyers, the upside looks limited. If PSA 10 R/RGB falls below ¥2,650,000 in the November 15 update, we will read buying in the RGB cards as having run its course.

2. Storm Emeralda (M6) stays heavy in both boxes and singles

On X In a November 3 roundup of box prices, @Zabi_pokeka posted that Team Rocket's 栄光 had held steady at around ¥25,000, falling less than other boxes, while Storm Emeralda (M6) had dropped into the ¥8,000 range. On November 4, @MhyuRu compared how often a non-Pokémon product was being restocked to Storm Emeralda.

Our data The M6 card among this week’s top 5 mint fallers is Mega Rayquaza ex (M6 113/076), ranked 86th. Mint is ¥47,332 (-6.10% over 7 days, -19.63% over 30 days) and PSA 10 is ¥209,000 (-1.38% over 7 days, -5.09% over 30 days). In the TOP10, by contrast, nine of the ten cards apart from Mew (M6a R/RGB) are promo cards (XY-P and SM-P), and all nine show ±0.00% in mint over 7 days.

Our view We think mint Mega Rayquaza ex (M6 113/076) fell 19.63% over 30 days, far more than its PSA 10 price (-5.09%), because restocks lead to more opening and mint supply grows first. That matches posts reporting the box in the 8,000 yen range. Yet only 7 PSA 10 prices in our TOP100 are down over 30 days, so we see the weight of restocks concentrated in expansion-set singles rather than a broad weakness. For collectors of M6 cards, this is a period of waiting for a recovery. Whether PSA 10 breaks below ¥204,900, its November 6 level, in the November 15 update will tell us if the decline is reaching graded copies.

3. PSA 10 gains spread across older and promo cards while mint stays still

On X On November 6, @ZeniKame_Pokeca posted that PSA 10 gains stood out between October 24 and November 6, with Team Rocket's ニャースAR up 44.0% and Zekrom ex SAR up 15.5%. On November 5, @shoukinopokeka reported that the PSA 10 price of the Umbreon promo by YU NAGABA was ¥47,500, close to its June monthly median of ¥48,700.

Our data In our TOP100, 89 cards show a positive 30-day PSA 10 change and 7 a negative one, against 67 and 26 a week earlier. The top 7-day PSA 10 risers were Skyla (164/XY-P) (+24.60%), こわいおねえさん (XY 184/171) (+20.14%, up from 61st to 54th), Rowlet (290/SM-P) (+14.55%) and Poncho-wearing Pikachu (207/XY-P) (+13.55%). All four show ±0.00% in mint over 7 days.

Our view Last week we said buying would have spread to mint cards if more than 20 mint prices rose over 7 days in the November 8 update; the count was 11, so the condition was not met. We think only PSA 10 prices are rising because mint copies of promo and older cards rarely trade, so buyers concentrate on graded copies. The posts cite cards outside our TOP100, such as Team Rocket's ニャースAR, but within our TOP100 only 7 PSA 10 prices are down over 30 days, so talk and sales point the same way. We think a PSA 10-only rise is likely to continue, rather than a recovery that includes mint. For collectors holding PSA 10 copies, this is a tailwind. If PSA 10 cards down over 7 days outnumber those up in the November 15 update, we will read the rise as pausing.

4. Grading: the low-cost plan returns, a US customs inspection, and a flat premium at 3.44 times

On X On November 4, in a post about the difficulty of collecting all 30 illustrator Pikachu cards from 30th CELEBRATION in PSA 10, @MhyuRu noted that PSA’s Value plan had returned, at about ¥6,000 per card. On November 3, @sunrising162136 shared a report that US customs were holding about 12,000 graded cards in 17 boxes to check their authenticity; the post said it was unclear whether these were PSA returns but raised concern about delays to returns.

Our data The median PSA 10 premium over mint in our TOP100 was 2.57 times on October 9, 3.46 times on November 1 and 3.44 times on November 8. The RGB Mew cards from 30th CELEBRATION have only 10 to 11 PSA 10 sales on record.

Our view We think the median premium has almost stopped, at 3.46 times last week and 3.44 times now, because buyers have started to expect more PSA 10 copies after the low-cost plan returned, as the posts report. Returns take time, though, and the report of a customs inspection in the US is another factor that could slow them. We see a pause in the rise rather than the start of a narrowing premium. For submitters, today’s premium may not last until their cards come back. If the median falls below 3.44 times in the November 15 update, making two weeks of decline in a row, we will read it as the start of a narrowing.

What to watch next week

• Whether PSA 10 Mew (M6a R/RGB) (¥2,800,000 this week) stays above ¥2,650,000, its November 2 level
• Whether the median PSA 10 premium (3.44 times this week) falls for a second week, and the balance of PSA 10 cards up (35) and down (31) over 7 days
• Whether PSA 10 Mega Rayquaza ex (M6 113/076) (¥209,000 this week) breaks below ¥204,900, its November 6 level

Our overall view

We see the Japanese-edition market this week at a stage where the PSA 10-led repair has run its course and the graded-card premium is holding at a high level. In our TOP100, PSA 10 cards down over 30 days fell from 26 to 7, while the median premium was nearly flat at 3.46 times on November 1 and 3.44 times on November 8, and 79 mint prices did not move over 7 days. The main driver is buying of PSA 10 promo and older cards. In contrast, the 30th CELEBRATION box and M6 mint singles still carry the weight of restocks and regular deliveries.

Over the next 2–4 weeks, we think the split is likely to continue, with PSA 10 prices holding firm and expansion-set mint cards slow to recover. The biggest uncertainties are more returns after the low-cost grading plan came back, as posts report, and a 30th card set restock that a post places between mid-November and early December. If the median keeps falling from 3.44 times and the number of PSA 10 cards down over 30 days rises in the November 22 update, we will revise our view and treat the graded-card repair as over.